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Coup d’état, repression, risk of civil war and international passivity: the situation in Myanmar is ‘unsustainable’

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Student Union and teachers protest against military coup in front of State Government Office at Hpa-An, Kayin State, Myanmar.

Student Union and teachers protest against military coup in front of State Government Office at Hpa-An, Kayin State, Myanmar. Photo: Ninjastrikers. CC BY-SA 4.0.


Myanmar does not lift its head. The situation in the country since the military coup on February 1 worsens as the days go by, and the violence is increasing. The desperate population continues with daily protests, many of them peaceful, which end on all occasions with repression and assassinations by the army and the military junta in command, led by Commander Min Aung Hlaing.

Full control of power is maintained by the army after the imprisonment of leader Aung San Suu Kyi, one of the key people in the democratic transition and with control of the government until the coup. The executive elected in the November 2020 elections did not convince the military, who detained a large part of them, thus initiating a new stage of dictatorship. However, the Burmese population is reluctant to accept it and it can lead to a situation similar to a civil war.

This week, the UN special envoy to Myanmar (Burma), Christine Schraner Burgener, warned of the risk of a civil war and an “imminent bloodbath” in Burma by the coup army and has asked the Security Council to consider “significant actions that can reverse the course of events” in this Asian country.

After the escalation of tensions experienced in recent weeks, the army has shown that its pulse is not going to shake and is willing to put into practice total repression on its population, and even go to civil war.

However, young people can play a fundamental role as leaders of the protests: “The generations that are now between 16 and 30 years old, who have lived through the years of democratic transition and have enjoyed it, are not willing to tolerate the coup. of state and accept the dictatorship, for that reason they have been urban guerrilla for two months. The civil population is very willing to fight to the end and not be defeated. It is one of the keys that will mark the future of the country.”

“If the population manages to continue resisting the repression and the military begins to divide, they will have many more options to stop the coup. If the army remains united, it will be much more difficult to defeat them. For now, no fracture is in sight between the troops.”

-TN


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